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Red184
1071120.3
467133.5
1099151.1
Blue420
178145.4
195202.4
5687190.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413990100200300500600184420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.10.1
141.7141.8
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
blue by 51.3
195
#2
202.46.1
157.9164.0
Auto28.4
Teleop154.4
End17.6
Second
467
#10
133.50.8
122.5123.3
Auto17.5
Teleop100.2
End17.1
blue by 57.3
190.80.2
183.6183.9
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
Third
1071
#27
120.38.8
108.5117.4
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
blue by 25.1
178
#15
145.41.1
139.7140.8
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed