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Red218
3555162.7
3634106.9
1027101.8
Blue375
178145.4
4055142.3
1099151.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623610100200300400500600700218375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.71.5
150.2151.7
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
red by 11.6
151.10.7
141.4142.2
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
Second
3634
#30
106.91.1
114.2113.1
Auto15.1
Teleop85.1
End3.2
blue by 38.5
178
#15
145.41.1
142.2143.3
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Third
1027
#29
101.84.3
94.398.6
Auto14.4
Teleop83.6
End4.9
blue by 40.5
4055
#16
142.30.0
138.4138.4
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed