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Red118
1071120.3
3654125.5
6346104.8
Blue209
4572116.3
2067163.0
3104111.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275299100200400500118209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#20
125.55.2
112.2117.4
Auto17.5
Teleop93.0
End14.7
blue by 37.5
163.02.2
149.4151.6
Auto21.9
Teleop119.8
End23.4
Second
1071
#27
120.30.8
122.0122.9
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
red by 4.0
4572
#11
116.31.2
119.4118.2
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End9.2
Third
6346
#26
104.81.7
104.8106.5
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
blue by 7.0
3104
#22
111.83.5
100.7104.3
Auto16.9
Teleop85.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed