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Red222
3654125.5
2064131.3
3958121.0
Blue265
6811107.6
4055142.3
2836155.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285329100200400500600222265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#19
131.33.1
126.8129.9
Auto17.3
Teleop101.0
End12.4
blue by 24.6
155.97.6
133.0140.5
Auto22.2
Teleop114.9
End16.9
Second
3654
#20
125.52.6
117.4119.9
Auto17.5
Teleop93.0
End14.7
blue by 16.9
4055
#16
142.30.5
138.4138.9
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
Third
3958
#21
121.00.4
115.9115.5
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
red by 13.3
6811
#24
107.64.6
101.1105.7
Auto17.4
Teleop80.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed