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Red436
195202.4
6346104.8
1099151.1
Blue204
7127116.3
1071120.3
2067163.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364261100200300400500436204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
202.44.8
174.4179.2
Auto28.4
Teleop154.4
End17.6
red by 39.4
163.01.7
151.6153.2
Auto21.9
Teleop119.8
End23.4
Second
151.11.2
142.2143.3
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
red by 30.8
1071
#27
120.30.3
122.9122.5
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
Third
6346
#26
104.80.3
106.5106.8
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
blue by 11.5
7127
#23
116.33.9
103.5107.4
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed