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Red202
4557179.6
6346104.8
155116.5
Blue356
3555162.7
1071120.3
6367107.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338315200250300350400202356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.61.1
178.6179.7
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
red by 16.9
162.70.9
153.6154.5
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
Second
155
#18
116.51.1
113.0114.1
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End12.9
blue by 3.9
1071
#27
120.31.6
120.8119.2
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
Third
6346
#26
104.82.5
108.2110.6
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
blue by 2.6
6367
#28
107.40.2
101.6101.8
Auto15.8
Teleop82.5
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed