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Qual 382018 NE District Southern CT Event
Red428
195202.4
7127116.3
3958121.0
Blue179
1099151.1
7153106.8
178145.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340290150200250400450500428179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
202.45.6
183.8→189.5
Auto28.4
Teleop154.4
End17.6
red by 51.3
1099
#8
151.11.7
144.7→146.4
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
Second
3958
#21
121.00.4
115.1→115.4
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
blue by 24.4
178
#15
145.40.4
144.7→145.1
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Third
7127
#23
116.32.0
108.5→110.5
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.5
red by 9.5
7153
#14
106.80.3
105.8→105.4
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed