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Red345
6367107.4
7153106.8
3958121.0
Blue416
3104111.8
228165.8
5856147.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193810100300500600345416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3958
#21
121.01.0
115.4116.4
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
blue by 44.8
228
#12
165.80.3
167.5167.2
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
Second
6367
#28
107.42.2
101.8104.0
Auto15.8
Teleop82.5
End10.1
blue by 40.3
5856
#17
147.70.6
148.8148.2
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End18.1
Third
7153
#14
106.81.3
105.4104.2
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6
blue by 5.0
3104
#22
111.82.0
107.9109.9
Auto16.9
Teleop85.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed