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Red218
4055142.3
178145.4
6346104.8
Blue415
467133.5
3555162.7
69121.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297358100200400500600218415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#15
145.40.2
145.1144.9
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
blue by 17.3
162.71.7
154.5156.2
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
Second
4055
#16
142.31.2
139.8141.0
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
red by 8.9
467
#10
133.51.1
127.4128.5
Auto17.5
Teleop100.2
End17.1
Third
6346
#26
104.81.1
110.6109.6
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
blue by 16.5
69
#25
121.32.1
117.7119.8
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed