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Red409
467133.5
5687190.8
7153106.8
Blue255
230222.1
5746127.6
6367107.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287373200400500600409255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.80.8
184.5185.2
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
blue by 31.2
230
#3
222.12.0
216.6218.6
Auto28.0
Teleop162.8
End32.9
Second
467
#10
133.51.2
128.5129.7
Auto17.5
Teleop100.2
End17.1
red by 5.8
5746
#13
127.62.2
125.1127.4
Auto18.6
Teleop97.7
End7.5
Third
7153
#14
106.80.4
104.2104.5
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6
blue by 0.6
6367
#28
107.42.6
104.0106.6
Auto15.8
Teleop82.5
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed