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Red444
5856147.7
195202.4
230222.1
Blue138
1027101.8
4557179.6
4055142.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479252100200300400600700800444138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
222.11.4
219.4220.8
Auto28.0
Teleop162.8
End32.9
red by 42.5
179.60.5
179.7180.2
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
Second
195
#2
202.40.7
201.7202.4
Auto28.4
Teleop154.4
End17.6
red by 60.1
4055
#16
142.30.6
142.7143.3
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
Third
5856
#17
147.70.1
148.2148.1
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End18.1
red by 45.9
1027
#29
101.80.2
101.7101.8
Auto14.4
Teleop83.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed