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Red127
7153106.8
1071120.3
5746127.6
Blue401
3958121.0
2836155.9
178145.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613590100200300400500600127401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5746
#13
127.60.7
127.7128.4
Auto18.6
Teleop97.7
End7.5
blue by 28.3
155.90.5
156.4155.9
Auto22.2
Teleop114.9
End16.9
Second
1071
#27
120.30.5
121.4120.9
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
blue by 25.1
178
#15
145.40.4
144.1144.5
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Third
7153
#14
106.80.9
106.0106.8
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6
blue by 14.1
3958
#21
121.01.2
118.8120.0
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed