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Red173
2836155.9
3654125.5
7127116.3
Blue367
4572116.3
467133.5
95175.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433180100200400500600173367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.911.6
105.3116.9
Auto22.2
Teleop114.9
End16.9
blue by 19.6
95
#1
175.50.9
154.5155.4
Auto18.8
Teleop142.6
End16.4
Second
3654
#20
125.55.8
101.2107.0
Auto17.5
Teleop93.0
End14.7
blue by 8.0
467
#10
133.50.6
121.9122.5
Auto17.5
Teleop100.2
End17.1
Third
7127
#23
116.311.8
77.789.5
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.5
Level
4572
#11
116.30.6
120.0119.4
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed