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Red438
525184.2
2410182.0
4329139.0
Blue331
3792147.9
6424165.2
1987163.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40331302006008001,000438331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
184.20.1
183.8184.0
Auto21.9
Teleop139.6
End22.9
red by 18.9
165.20.4
164.4164.8
Auto17.8
Teleop128.5
End19.3
Second
182.00.6
180.7181.4
Auto24.7
Teleop127.2
End34.6
red by 19.0
1987
#14
163.10.4
162.3162.7
Auto22.3
Teleop122.2
End20.1
Third
4329
#32
139.00.2
138.4138.7
Auto14.1
Teleop110.4
End16.9
blue by 9.0
3792
#18
147.90.1
148.1148.0
Auto16.7
Teleop120.1
End12.1