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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Cow Town ThrowDown
Red438
3792147.9
6424165.2
1987163.1
Blue307
3928169.6
1777137.3
4959156.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337338320340360380420438307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#4
165.20.2
163.1→163.4
Auto17.8
Teleop128.5
End19.3
blue by 4.3
3928
#17
169.60.1
169.8→169.7
Auto22.8
Teleop128.3
End17.1
Second
1987
#14
163.10.2
161.1→161.3
Auto22.3
Teleop122.2
End20.1
red by 7.0
4959
#23
156.10.2
156.4→156.2
Auto23.2
Teleop122.2
End10.7
Third
3792
#18
147.90.4
149.2→148.7
Auto16.7
Teleop120.1
End12.1
red by 10.6
1777
#8
137.30.3
136.8→137.0
Auto15.6
Teleop102.9
End20.2