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Red218
1994118.5
1825149.6
6419119.6
Blue235
5809123.4
5126127.5
3928169.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913690100200400500600700218235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#40
149.60.8
147.5148.2
Auto17.2
Teleop118.4
End13.3
blue by 20.0
3928
#17
169.61.1
169.0170.1
Auto22.8
Teleop128.3
End17.1
Second
6419
#26
119.60.4
116.6117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.3
blue by 7.8
5126
#10
127.50.3
129.8130.1
Auto17.0
Teleop94.6
End17.9
Third
1994
#46
118.50.4
123.6124.1
Auto13.2
Teleop89.5
End15.3
blue by 4.9
5809
#36
123.41.3
126.4127.7
Auto18.3
Teleop92.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed