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Red264
3928169.6
2164136.5
9985110.7
Blue376
1723202.3
1777137.3
6630144.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287383100200500600700264376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#17
169.60.3
170.1169.8
Auto22.8
Teleop128.3
End17.1
blue by 32.7
202.30.1
201.0200.8
Auto24.4
Teleop152.5
End24.0
Second
2164
#31
136.50.3
132.5132.8
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.8
blue by 7.8
6630
#34
144.30.8
148.0147.2
Auto19.3
Teleop107.3
End16.4
Third
9985
#43
110.70.7
108.3107.6
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.1
blue by 26.6
137.31.0
131.8132.8
Auto15.6
Teleop102.9
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed