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Red216
6359148.4
1710157.4
2560116.5
Blue402
445595.2
6419119.6
2410182.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732440100200300500600700800216402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#21
157.40.2
160.6160.8
Auto21.0
Teleop122.5
End12.7
blue by 24.6
182.02.6
158.7161.3
Auto24.7
Teleop127.2
End34.6
Second
6359
#27
148.41.4
150.3151.7
Auto17.8
Teleop111.9
End20.2
red by 28.8
6419
#26
119.60.0
117.0117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.3
Third
2560
#35
116.51.1
119.3120.4
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End11.1
red by 21.3
4455
#38
95.20.9
89.990.8
Auto11.9
Teleop76.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed