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Red262
2560116.5
1982135.1
4646153.4
Blue228
1108139.9
9985110.7
1825149.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296318200250350400262228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#16
153.40.8
151.5152.3
Auto20.1
Teleop117.3
End16.6
red by 3.9
1825
#40
149.60.6
150.0150.6
Auto17.2
Teleop118.4
End13.3
Second
1982
#33
135.11.9
139.3137.4
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End11.1
blue by 4.7
1108
#20
139.91.2
137.2138.4
Auto19.4
Teleop105.7
End15.2
Third
2560
#35
116.51.7
119.6117.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End11.1
red by 5.8
9985
#43
110.70.0
107.0107.1
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed