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Red336
445595.2
2164136.5
1723202.3
Blue215
6419119.6
1986202.4
5968110.7
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322312200250300350400336215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.30.2
201.8202.0
Auto24.4
Teleop152.5
End24.0
blue by 0.2
202.40.2
200.8200.9
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
Second
2164
#31
136.50.8
134.6135.4
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.8
red by 16.9
6419
#26
119.60.8
118.5119.3
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.3
Third
4455
#38
95.20.6
94.495.1
Auto11.9
Teleop76.1
End4.0
blue by 15.5
5968
#48
110.72.3
117.5115.1
Auto14.7
Teleop87.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed