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Red122
4646153.4
681799.8
3792147.9
Blue413
3284148.2
1769111.1
1986202.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623610100200300400500600122413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#16
153.40.6
153.1153.7
Auto20.1
Teleop117.3
End16.6
blue by 49.0
202.40.5
200.9200.4
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
Second
3792
#18
147.91.8
153.3151.4
Auto16.7
Teleop120.1
End12.1
blue by 0.3
3284
#29
148.20.0
146.5146.4
Auto19.0
Teleop111.7
End17.9
Third
6817
#49
99.81.0
102.1101.2
Auto13.8
Teleop74.2
End12.7
blue by 11.3
1769
#19
111.10.4
109.7110.1
Auto18.7
Teleop86.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed