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Red194
5968110.7
1764140.0
1994118.5
Blue404
1710157.4
1810139.3
1775137.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433680100200300400500600194404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#39
140.00.1
139.9140.0
Auto21.3
Teleop106.9
End11.9
blue by 17.5
1710
#21
157.40.3
158.0157.8
Auto21.0
Teleop122.5
End12.7
Second
1994
#46
118.50.7
120.0119.3
Auto13.2
Teleop89.5
End15.3
blue by 20.8
1810
#13
139.30.8
140.2139.4
Auto18.2
Teleop100.7
End17.0
Third
5968
#48
110.72.4
115.1112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop87.6
End7.5
blue by 26.3
1775
#37
137.01.7
139.7138.0
Auto17.0
Teleop100.2
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed