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Red180
4959156.1
5968110.7
5809123.4
Blue481
1777137.3
525184.2
1108139.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363860100200300500600180481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#23
156.10.3
156.6156.4
Auto23.2
Teleop122.2
End10.7
blue by 28.1
525
#2
184.20.1
183.0183.1
Auto21.9
Teleop139.6
End22.9
Second
5809
#36
123.40.5
124.3123.8
Auto18.3
Teleop92.4
End11.3
blue by 16.5
1108
#20
139.90.5
139.4139.9
Auto19.4
Teleop105.7
End15.2
Third
5968
#48
110.72.1
112.8110.7
Auto14.7
Teleop87.6
End7.5
blue by 26.7
137.30.7
135.1135.7
Auto15.6
Teleop102.9
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed