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Red341
525184.2
2410182.0
4329139.0
Blue229
5006148.7
1986202.4
1723202.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36038505001,0001,5002,000341229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
184.20.2
183.7183.8
Auto21.9
Teleop139.6
End22.9
blue by 18.3
202.40.1
202.3202.4
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
Second
182.00.7
180.0180.7
Auto24.7
Teleop127.2
End34.6
blue by 20.2
202.30.0
202.3202.3
Auto24.4
Teleop152.5
End24.0
Third
4329
#32
139.00.3
138.1138.4
Auto14.1
Teleop110.4
End16.9
blue by 9.7
5006
#41
148.70.4
149.1148.7
Auto19.2
Teleop104.7
End22.7