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Red341
1939152.6
3284148.2
5013153.5
Blue413
3792147.9
6424165.2
1987163.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336338200250300350400450341413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.50.5
152.6153.1
Auto18.6
Teleop114.9
End21.2
blue by 11.7
165.20.4
163.7164.0
Auto17.8
Teleop128.5
End19.3
Second
1939
#15
152.60.2
152.3152.4
Auto17.2
Teleop115.0
End20.1
blue by 10.5
1987
#14
163.10.3
161.6161.9
Auto22.3
Teleop122.2
End20.1
Third
3284
#29
148.20.3
147.7147.9
Auto19.0
Teleop111.7
End17.9
red by 0.3
3792
#18
147.90.2
148.4148.2
Auto16.7
Teleop120.1
End12.1