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Red389
176161.4
230188.2
512994.1
Blue350
5856141.9
177173.1
5142126.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351327200250300400450500550389350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
188.21.1
187.1188.2
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
red by 15.1
177
#3
173.10.7
172.5173.1
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
Second
176
#7
161.40.7
160.8161.4
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
red by 19.5
141.90.5
141.4141.9
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
Third
5129
#32
94.10.3
93.894.1
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
blue by 32.6
5142
#22
126.70.0
126.7126.7
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4