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Quarterfinal 3-12018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red426
236148.7
3314158.8
1676122.9
Blue213
571130.2
228160.7
1099142.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373200100200400500600700426213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#2
158.80.1
157.8→157.9
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
blue by 1.9
228
#9
160.70.6
159.1→159.7
Auto16.9
Teleop124.8
End22.2
Second
236
#12
148.70.8
144.6→145.4
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End21.4
red by 6.7
1099
#19
142.00.2
142.5→142.3
Auto18.0
Teleop109.0
End16.0
Third
1676
#24
122.90.1
122.1→122.1
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
blue by 7.4
571
#17
130.20.2
129.7→129.9
Auto16.7
Teleop100.2
End11.3