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Quarterfinal 4-12018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red391
5856141.9
177173.1
5142126.7
Blue328
181136.7
1699138.7
2170124.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367288100200400500600391328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
173.10.8
167.8→168.6
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
red by 34.5
1699
#8
138.70.1
138.8→138.7
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
Second
5856
#5
141.90.6
138.0→138.6
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
red by 5.3
181
#15
136.70.6
134.9→135.5
Auto16.4
Teleop100.9
End22.9
Third
5142
#22
126.70.2
127.3→127.1
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
red by 2.0
2170
#16
124.70.8
122.3→123.1
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8