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Red421
7266107.5
2170124.7
230188.2
Blue201
4572121.7
558134.3
50195.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30927602004006008001,0001,2001,400421201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
188.210.6
125.7136.3
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
red by 53.9
558
#14
134.312.5
107.5120.0
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
Second
2170
#16
124.714.4
89.5103.9
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
red by 3.0
4572
#28
121.715.5
79.194.6
Auto17.4
Teleop95.4
End7.7
Third
7266
#27
107.535.8
113.577.7
Auto13.7
Teleop83.7
End11.8
red by 11.6
501
#31
95.90.9
115.1114.1
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed