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Red393
228160.7
3182126.2
3461166.3
Blue214
237155.3
2170124.7
4572121.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303292100200400500393214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.36.4
116.7123.1
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
red by 11.0
237
#10
155.37.6
116.5124.1
Auto19.0
Teleop118.9
End21.5
Second
228
#9
160.76.2
125.2131.4
Auto16.9
Teleop124.8
End22.2
red by 35.9
2170
#16
124.70.8
120.7121.4
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
Third
3182
#13
126.23.4
103.6107.1
Auto14.9
Teleop91.7
End19.9
red by 4.5
4572
#28
121.74.5
111.4115.9
Auto17.4
Teleop95.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed