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Qual 292018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red291
4557165.7
4572121.7
4097123.9
Blue393
5856141.9
1099142.0
558134.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279310100200400500600291393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#6
165.77.8
133.4→141.2
Auto19.5
Teleop121.5
End27.2
red by 23.7
1099
#19
142.03.1
131.3→134.4
Auto18.0
Teleop109.0
End16.0
Second
4097
#26
123.90.6
113.6→113.0
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End12.4
blue by 18.0
5856
#5
141.91.8
123.5→125.3
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
Third
4572
#28
121.72.3
117.2→119.4
Auto17.4
Teleop95.4
End7.7
blue by 12.6
558
#14
134.31.1
123.6→122.4
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed