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Red168
2170124.7
3525118.6
2067143.8
Blue416
1124127.5
3461166.3
236148.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289329100200400500168416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#11
143.80.5
143.0143.5
Auto20.4
Teleop107.7
End17.3
blue by 22.5
166.37.3
129.4136.7
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
Second
2170
#16
124.70.4
120.1119.7
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
blue by 23.9
236
#12
148.72.6
119.8122.4
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End21.4
Third
3525
#23
118.65.2
116.2121.4
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End16.7
blue by 8.9
1124
#30
127.51.3
129.0127.7
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed