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Red189
1676122.9
3182126.2
5142126.7
Blue370
2067143.8
3461166.3
181136.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275336100200300400500189370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#22
126.74.2
125.3129.5
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
blue by 39.6
166.37.2
136.7143.9
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
Second
3182
#13
126.24.4
115.1119.4
Auto14.9
Teleop91.7
End19.9
blue by 17.6
2067
#11
143.80.7
143.5142.8
Auto20.4
Teleop107.7
End17.3
Third
1676
#24
122.91.9
131.6129.7
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
blue by 13.8
181
#15
136.71.2
126.8125.6
Auto16.4
Teleop100.9
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed