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Red290
1124127.5
512994.1
176161.4
Blue348
999118.1
3314158.8
3182126.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263313100200400500290348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#7
161.41.8
150.9152.6
Auto23.4
Teleop117.6
End21.2
red by 2.6
158.84.3
146.9151.2
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
Second
1124
#30
127.50.5
126.9126.4
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
red by 1.3
3182
#13
126.21.2
121.7122.9
Auto14.9
Teleop91.7
End19.9
Third
5129
#32
94.13.4
99.696.3
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
blue by 24.0
999
#25
118.13.2
122.1118.9
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed