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Qual 502018 NE District Waterbury Event
Red379
3461166.3
2170124.7
571130.2
Blue238
999118.1
1676122.9
5856141.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346272100200300400500600379238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#4
166.33.0
153.8→156.8
Auto21.5
Teleop123.3
End23.5
red by 24.4
5856
#5
141.92.7
132.0→134.8
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
Second
571
#17
130.24.1
120.6→124.7
Auto16.7
Teleop100.2
End11.3
red by 7.4
1676
#24
122.91.7
124.8→123.0
Auto17.0
Teleop95.1
End15.5
Third
2170
#16
124.71.2
117.5→118.7
Auto17.2
Teleop92.8
End17.8
red by 6.6
999
#25
118.11.4
118.9→117.5
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed