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Red242
512994.1
1699138.7
3464124.9
Blue342
2067143.8
177173.1
4572121.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229359100200300400500600242342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.70.2
139.5139.3
Auto20.7
Teleop105.8
End10.9
blue by 34.5
177
#3
173.11.8
162.3164.0
Auto20.7
Teleop128.3
End28.1
Second
3464
#21
124.91.7
127.7126.1
Auto17.9
Teleop89.2
End18.4
blue by 18.9
2067
#11
143.80.6
142.3141.7
Auto20.4
Teleop107.7
End17.3
Third
5129
#32
94.11.2
96.395.1
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
blue by 27.6
4572
#28
121.71.5
125.6124.1
Auto17.4
Teleop95.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed