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Red140
558134.3
3182126.2
512994.1
Blue292
5142126.7
5856141.9
3314158.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253367100200300400500600140292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#14
134.33.3
129.2132.5
Auto21.6
Teleop107.0
End7.4
blue by 24.5
158.82.0
154.7156.7
Auto21.3
Teleop112.2
End26.9
Second
3182
#13
126.21.8
124.4126.1
Auto14.9
Teleop91.7
End19.9
blue by 15.8
141.92.1
134.8136.8
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.2
Third
5129
#32
94.10.5
95.194.6
Auto13.4
Teleop79.1
End3.1
blue by 32.6
5142
#22
126.71.8
130.9129.0
Auto18.6
Teleop95.7
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed