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Red159
3464124.9
1124127.5
4055143.3
Blue473
6723114.9
230188.2
3182126.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278372100200400500600159473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#18
143.32.0
146.7144.7
Auto16.6
Teleop103.8
End22.3
blue by 44.9
230
#1
188.23.0
178.9181.8
Auto26.1
Teleop140.6
End24.3
Second
1124
#30
127.50.1
127.4127.5
Auto20.7
Teleop96.2
End10.6
red by 1.3
3182
#13
126.20.0
126.1126.2
Auto14.9
Teleop91.7
End19.9
Third
3464
#21
124.90.0
125.3125.3
Auto17.9
Teleop89.2
End18.4
red by 10.0
6723
#20
114.90.2
114.6114.9
Auto15.3
Teleop80.0
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed