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Red389
4405179.2
4607138.5
167170.3
Blue277
6401137.2
558162.2
7250129.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072760100200500600700389277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.20.8
178.1178.8
Auto21.5
Teleop134.2
End21.8
red by 16.9
558
#14
162.21.3
160.9162.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
Second
167
#51
170.30.7
170.9170.3
Auto20.8
Teleop130.0
End18.3
red by 33.1
6401
#56
137.20.8
136.4137.2
Auto18.6
Teleop103.9
End14.0
Third
4607
#65
138.51.0
139.7138.8
Auto16.7
Teleop105.8
End12.4
red by 9.4
7250
#63
129.10.4
128.7129.1
Auto20.1
Teleop90.9
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed