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Red361
4655173.0
3244163.0
236155.5
Blue378
3707209.4
5205143.8
1718176.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3234120100200500600700361378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#60
173.00.2
172.7173.0
Auto20.5
Teleop130.1
End22.3
blue by 36.5
209.41.5
205.6207.1
Auto23.6
Teleop152.3
End34.2
Second
3244
#19
163.00.4
162.5163.0
Auto23.0
Teleop112.2
End31.6
blue by 13.7
1718
#15
176.70.1
176.8176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Third
236
#17
155.51.4
154.1155.5
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
red by 11.8
5205
#24
143.82.0
141.8143.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned87%Face the Boss oddsEarned