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Red366
4099136.7
2175173.8
1599176.3
Blue208
7021178.4
7198132.8
316182.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323800100200500600700366208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#39
176.31.6
174.7176.3
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
blue by 5.9
316
#45
182.30.1
182.7182.6
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
Second
2175
#40
173.80.1
173.8173.7
Auto23.4
Teleop126.6
End25.6
blue by 4.7
7021
#54
178.40.2
178.6178.4
Auto20.7
Teleop140.7
End17.3
Third
4099
#62
136.70.3
137.0136.7
Auto19.7
Teleop107.9
End11.2
red by 3.9
7198
#44
132.80.3
132.6132.8
Auto18.5
Teleop93.6
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsMissed