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Red330
1599176.3
4607138.5
5712162.6
Blue370
3314176.6
2067160.2
195232.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2694450100200400500600700800330370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#39
176.30.6
167.5168.1
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
blue by 55.9
195
#2
232.21.4
241.9240.5
Auto25.2
Teleop174.7
End33.2
Second
5712
#31
162.61.6
166.6165.0
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
blue by 14.1
3314
#20
176.60.7
181.6180.8
Auto23.7
Teleop122.6
End31.8
Third
4607
#65
138.50.3
140.5140.3
Auto16.7
Teleop105.8
End12.4
blue by 21.7
2067
#18
160.21.8
163.3161.4
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned95%Face the Boss oddsMissed