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Red320
1555108.5
2601144.7
379190.9
Blue419
4384153.3
7198132.8
2826168.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452980100200400500600700320419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#50
190.90.1
195.7195.6
Auto23.7
Teleop138.9
End24.7
red by 22.2
2826
#34
168.70.4
162.2162.6
Auto19.5
Teleop124.5
End26.6
Second
2601
#49
144.70.3
142.0142.3
Auto22.9
Teleop106.4
End19.6
blue by 8.5
4384
#30
153.30.4
145.7146.1
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
Third
1555
#67
108.50.4
112.0111.6
Auto14.0
Teleop79.9
End17.3
blue by 24.3
7198
#44
132.80.8
124.1125.0
Auto18.5
Teleop93.6
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed