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Qual 242018 Curie Division
Red381
1718176.7
3324137.1
1747198.3
Blue320
230217.8
5804153.1
1599176.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326382100200500600700381320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#12
198.30.4
194.2→193.8
Auto24.7
Teleop150.7
End24.2
blue by 19.5
230
#6Sur
217.81.8
219.5→217.7
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
Second
1718
#15
176.71.0
180.4→179.4
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
red by 0.4
1599
#39
176.31.1
168.1→169.3
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
Third
3324
#43Sur
137.10.6
129.1→129.7
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End22.1
blue by 16.0
5804
#46
153.10.5
157.4→157.8
Auto18.7
Teleop122.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned59%Face the Boss oddsMissed