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Qual 262018 Curie Division
Red398
236155.5
2175173.8
1555108.5
Blue272
4607138.5
4099136.7
5460196.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813800100200500600700398272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#40
173.80.8
169.3→170.1
Auto23.4
Teleop126.6
End25.6
blue by 22.8
5460
#32
196.60.2
199.1→199.3
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Second
236
#17
155.50.3
147.6→147.3
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
red by 17.1
4607
#65
138.50.4
140.3→140.7
Auto16.7
Teleop105.8
End12.4
Third
1555
#67
108.50.2
111.6→111.4
Auto14.0
Teleop79.9
End17.3
blue by 28.1
4099
#62
136.71.0
136.4→137.4
Auto19.7
Teleop107.9
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed