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Red227
2052183.3
6175129.9
5687197.6
Blue460
167170.3
503176.4
910165.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354351250300400450227460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#11
197.60.0
202.5202.5
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End20.8
red by 21.2
503
#47
176.40.4
180.4180.0
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
Second
2052
#23
183.31.2
186.9188.1
Auto26.2
Teleop137.5
End19.7
red by 13.0
167
#51
170.30.4
175.4175.1
Auto20.8
Teleop130.0
End18.3
Third
6175
#61
129.90.4
129.2129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End16.0
blue by 35.1
910
#33
165.00.3
157.0157.3
Auto22.1
Teleop129.8
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsMissed