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Red305
2601144.7
7103142.7
3452201.4
Blue384
1023191.0
4814138.4
1025182.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316382100200500600700305384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.40.5
194.4193.9
Auto20.3
Teleop148.0
End31.2
red by 10.4
1023
#35
191.01.3
195.0193.7
Auto21.0
Teleop145.6
End23.6
Second
2601
#49
144.70.2
141.9142.0
Auto22.9
Teleop106.4
End19.6
blue by 37.5
1025
#41
182.20.4
179.6180.1
Auto23.1
Teleop134.0
End26.1
Third
7103
#48
142.72.0
135.5137.5
Auto19.6
Teleop105.5
End19.8
red by 4.3
4814
#57
138.41.0
142.3143.3
Auto18.9
Teleop105.9
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsMissed