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Qual 322018 Curie Division
Red277
4976184.0
4655173.0
4903165.5
Blue430
3452201.4
1684185.8
4384153.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362381200250300400450500550600277430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#53
184.00.5
190.6→190.0
Auto20.2
Teleop143.5
End23.1
blue by 17.4
3452
#4
201.40.2
193.6→193.8
Auto20.3
Teleop148.0
End31.2
Second
4655
#60
173.00.1
173.0→173.1
Auto20.5
Teleop130.1
End22.3
blue by 12.8
1684
#10
185.81.3
172.4→173.7
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Third
4903
#38
165.50.3
173.9→173.6
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
red by 12.3
4384
#30
153.31.4
146.1→147.6
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsEarned