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Red264
70177.8
5205143.8
45124.9
Blue238
7250129.1
1555108.5
2638167.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379276100200500600264238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#13
177.80.4
183.1182.7
Auto21.8
Teleop135.4
End17.3
red by 10.4
2638
#28
167.40.6
172.0171.3
Auto18.0
Teleop124.5
End24.9
Second
5205
#24
143.80.2
138.5138.7
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
red by 14.7
7250
#63
129.10.5
128.7128.3
Auto20.1
Teleop90.9
End18.7
Third
45
#58
124.90.3
130.7130.4
Auto18.4
Teleop90.8
End13.2
red by 16.3
1555
#67
108.50.3
111.4111.7
Auto14.0
Teleop79.9
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed