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Red420
3314176.6
3082137.7
2054193.5
Blue349
6175129.9
4976184.0
333160.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3813390100200300500600700420349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.50.6
187.4188.0
Auto23.0
Teleop136.3
End34.2
red by 9.5
4976
#53
184.01.0
190.0189.0
Auto20.2
Teleop143.5
End23.1
Second
3314
#20
176.60.7
179.5178.9
Auto23.7
Teleop122.6
End31.8
red by 15.8
333
#64
160.80.1
161.7161.8
Auto22.3
Teleop121.3
End16.2
Third
3082
#52
137.70.7
138.3137.6
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End26.4
red by 7.9
6175
#61
129.90.3
129.7129.4
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
90%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed